Wednesday, December 31, 2008

DIGRESSION: GAZA CONFLICT

I'm surprised to learn that the Palestinians now have some rockets with a 50 kilometre range. Israel is 300 km long and 100 km wide. Apparently some 600,000 Israelis are now within rocket range.

I wouldnt be surprised at all if this involves some exaggeration by the Israelis to provide some excuse for their actions. But I've followed this conflict for the last 15 years or so and this is the strongest I've ever known the Palestinians to be. The rockets will cause few Israeli casualties; but the psychological effect would be far larger.

There are also reports that Hamas has built a Vietcong style tunnel network under Gaza and are itching for an urban battle.

Maybe the Israeli juggernaut will be beaten after all.

Update: Interesting essay here about how Israelis feel very threatened by Hamas, Hezbollah, Iran, and most of all Israeli Arabs, who may form the majority of Israelis by 2040.

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